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Why dollar cost averaging btc since 2018 might be wrong

Bitcoin Debate Heats Up | Users Clash Over BTC Investments

By

Chen Wei

Jul 23, 2025, 09:42 PM

Edited By

Dmitry Ivanov

2 minutes needed to read

A person analyzing Bitcoin price charts on a laptop while considering investment strategies
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A growing discussion ignited among crypto enthusiasts as a post about holding Bitcoin since 2018-19 sparked varied reactions. Some commenters expressed concern over the implications of long-term investment in cryptocurrencies, questioning the sustainability of BTC's value.

Context of the Post

The original post emphasizes a long-term dollar-cost averaging approach to Bitcoin, but many comments reveal skepticism about the future of cryptocurrency. While some support this investment strategy, others warn of looming risks, fueling a contentious debate.

Key Themes Emerge

  1. Speculative Nature of Bitcoin: Several commenters likened Bitcoin to digital trading cards, suggesting that its perceived value is more about speculation than a secure investment. One user argued that "Bitcoin is such a destructive thing you’re all in a giant spaghetti-web of self-selection scams."

  2. Risks of Profit-Taking: Users voiced concerns over the challenges of cashing out. One said, "Hopefully you can cash it out eventually the likelihood you'll lose it all is quite high."

  3. User Confidence and Market Adoption: Many pointed out that overconfidence might be a fatal flaw for crypto holders. A user stated, "There is no guarantee the adoption of crypto will grow," highlighting uncertainty around future buyers entering the market.

"Not your fiat, not your value," one commentator cautioned, summing up a skeptical sentiment towards those investing in BTC.

Sentiment Breakdown

The discussion reflects a mix of apprehension and guarded optimism. While many users are confident in their investments, significant voices warn about the risks and speculative nature of Bitcoin.

Key Insights

  • 🌍 Speculation Drives Value: Crypto appears to hinge on user belief rather than fundamental value.

  • ⚠️ Withdrawal Challenges: Cashing out remains a complex hurdle for investors.

  • πŸ“ˆ Adoption Uncertainty: Long-term sustainability of Bitcoin relies on new market entrants.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin?

Experts estimate there's a strong chance the Bitcoin market will continue to experience volatility in the near future. With sentiments divided among investors, we could see fluctuations as high as 20% within the next few months. If more institutional investors step back, this might trigger a sell-off, tipping the market further into uncertainty. Conversely, should major players reaffirm their commitment to Bitcoin, the price could stabilize, increasing by up to 15%. Ultimately, the market’s reliance on public perception poses a serious risk and a potential path to profitability for those willing to take calculated risks on this digital asset.

Lessons from the Past: The Tulip Bulb Market

The current crypto debate evokes memories of the 17th-century tulip bulb market in the Netherlands. Much like Bitcoin today, tulip prices soared based on speculation, leading to an unsustainable bubble. Both markets attracted passionate investors convinced of their long-term value amid warnings of inevitable collapse. Just as tulip collectors hoped for future buyers, Bitcoin investors might find themselves sharing the same fate, where belief in value outweighs market fundamentals. As history reminds us, the fragility of speculative markets can swiftly deliver harsh lessons.