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Bitcoin's power law model indicates $68 k is a strong buy

Bitcoin Signals Bullish Buy Zone | Power Law Analysis Suggests BTC at $68K is a Bargain

By

Sofia Chang

Feb 21, 2026, 02:37 AM

2 minutes needed to read

A chart showing Bitcoin's price at $67,745 with indicators for buying opportunities and fair value at $123,947.

As Bitcoin trades at $67,745, analysts highlight a unique opportunity in the current market. The Power Law model indicates BTC’s fair value at around $123,947, marking a significant gap that raises eyebrows among investors.

Analyzing Current Market Conditions

The Power Law oscillator reports a reading of 13.7%, slightly up from last week. This position is firmly in the Deep Buy Zone (0-25%), an area seldom reached, typically appearing just once or twice in each halving cycle. This suggests a potential accumulation phase for savvy investors.

"This configuration β€” deep value combined with bearish momentum β€” represents the model’s maximum accumulation signal," one analyst noted.

While some speculate on future price movements, others are more cautious. One commenter shot back, "Shorting it then?" revealing a mix of skepticism among market participants.

Diverging Opinions in the Community

Investor sentiment appears mixed regarding Bitcoin's trajectory:

  • Potential Drop? Some users express doubt about BTC going below $53K, suggesting a floor.

  • Long-Term Holders: Others remain bullish, stating, "It all comes down to if the diamond hands keep buying at a good level now and in the future."

  • Critique of Models: A few comments have highlighted that models like these are widely known. "Decent analysis but the information has been free," one commenter pointed out.

Key Insights from the Current Situation

  • ⭐ BTC is perceived as undervalued with a significant gap to fair value.

  • πŸ“ˆ "Anything from here down to $30K is a great buy zone," one expert claims.

  • ⚑ "The parameters of that model change every cycle," indicating that market dynamics are ever-evolving.

As Bitcoin continues to fluctuate, the community remains keenly divided on its immediate future. While the data suggests potential gains, the fluctuations will keep investors on their toes. Will this signal the start of a rally, or are the concerns of a deeper drop valid? Stay tuned for developments in this evolving market.

Probabilities and Projections for Bitcoin's Path Ahead

There's a strong chance that Bitcoin will test the $70K mark shortly, driven by increasing accumulation signals from both retail and institutional investors. Experts estimate around a 65% probability that BTC will revisit its fair value of roughly $124K within the next 12 months if current trends hold. However, a 35% likelihood of a drop below the $53K support level also lingers, especially if the market conditions shift unexpectedly. As traders assess both macroeconomic indicators and internal market variables, cautious optimism remains prevalent, with many pinpointing the possibility of a significant rally should buying persist.

A Surprising Historical Echo

A less obvious parallel might be drawn with the early 2000s tech bubble. Just as websites were valued at billions despite little revenue, Bitcoin now faces a similar dichotomy of perception and valuation. The excitement around tech stocks led to explosive growth, then a sharp correction. Like those early internet companies, the Bitcoin community is grappling with both the promise of potential and the harsh realities of market volatility. As investors weigh short-term fears against long-term potential, the lessons from that era remind us that patience may be the ultimate currency in a game where today’s price can become tomorrow’s history.